Current implied probability
Magdalena Andersson 78.6%+1.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$60.1K
Liquidity
$1.3M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
48
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 19, 26, 8:34 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the next Swedish prime minister? · Magdalena Andersson 80%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- Polymarket prices Magdalena Andersson at 79% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Next Prime Minister of Sweden resolve?
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Next Prime Minister of Sweden settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- Where else is Next Prime Minister of Sweden listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.