Current implied probability
Magdalena Andersson 81%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$342.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
80.0% / 81.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 19, 26, 8:34 PMSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Magdalena Andersson81%
Compare venues· Magdalena Andersson
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 81% | — | $1.2K | $342.3K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets75% match · verified | — | 74% | — | — | — | 48 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Swedish prime minister?
3mo
74.4%
20%
4.1%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast12 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? — Nohklcrypt12d ago
POLYMARKETWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? — Nohklcrypt12d agoVolume trend
$1.2kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.