Current implied probability
Magdalena Andersson 71%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$112
Low liquidityBid / Ask
71.0% / 77.0%
Spread
8.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 12:00 AMJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Magdalena Andersson71%
Volume trend
$11Jul 84d of dataJul 13
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If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jimmie Åkesson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.