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Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Giorgia Meloni 50%Leader of 28 outcomes
Giorgia Meloni 50%Forecasters
34
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 22, 24, 12:13 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be Italy's next prime minister after Giorgia Meloni?
Manifold MarketsWill Giorgia Meloni win reelection of Italy prime minister before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?
Manifold MarketsMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by which date?
PolymarketWho will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
KalshiGiorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiRules
Who will the Prime Minister of the government following the Meloni I (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meloni_government).
- The next parliamentary election will be on September 2027, but it is possible that the Meloni I government falls before then.
- It is also possible that the next government will still be under the current PM the named outcome.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Next Prime Minister of Italy? · Giorgia Meloni 49%