Current implied probability
December 31 10%-1.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$43K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.5% / 1.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.5%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Dec 5, 25, 10:00 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3110%
Large trades
$5.2k99.8%
POLYMARKETMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31? — NoRyxon2121d ago
POLYMARKETMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31? — NoRyxon2121d agoVolume trend
$4.0kJul 224d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.