Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by which date?
2.4 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 5%
December 31 5%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$5.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.8K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jan 19, 26, 8:21 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
June 30Lost
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- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
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Market depth · December 31
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
