Mishustin out as Prime Minister of Russia by end of 2026
PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 31, 26, 8:02 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mikhail Mishustin ceases to be Prime Minister of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Mikhail Mishustin’s resignation/removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mikhail Mishustin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mishustin out as Prime Minister of Russia by end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Mishustin out as Prime Minister of Russia by end of 2026 resolve?
- Mishustin out as Prime Minister of Russia by end of 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Mishustin out as Prime Minister of Russia by end of 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mikhail Mishustin ceases to be Prime Minister of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).