Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
1.3 pt (24h)5mo
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+1.3pt17%
Mykola Kuleba9%
Save the Children+1.3pt8%+39 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$27.9M
24h Vol$1.1M
POLYMARKETRussia / Ukraine
23,250 markets tracked all-time for Russia / Ukraine, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
1,449
Total Volume
$301,586,042
24h Volume
$1,511,478
Liquidity + open interest
$40,802,624
Related Crypto Assets
Related News (4)
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+1.3pt17%Mykola Kuleba9%Save the Children+1.3pt8%POLYMARKET
Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
8mo
June 30, 202710%December+0.3pt3%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$28.4M
24h Vol$111.8K
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-0.5pt22%October 31+1.0pt10%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.4M
24h Vol$44.1K
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)8mo
December 31,-1.0pt69%November 30,67%October 31,63%+15 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.4M
24h Vol$19.9K
POLYMARKET
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
No meeting before 2027+0.5pt95%
US+0.9pt3%
Qatar / UAE-0.1pt1%+11 more outcomes
High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$3.7M
24h Vol$11.9K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
9.5 pt (24h)2mo
June 30,+9.5pt70%March 31,+7.0pt50%
December 31+0.5pt16%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.9M
24h Vol$16.7K
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
8mo
June 30, 20279%December 31+0.1pt3%+1 more outcomes
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4.2M
24h Vol$6.4K
POLYMARKET
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2mo
Yes5.9%
No94.1%
High quality (81)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$3.4M
24h Vol$7.3K
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
December 31+1.0pt62%November 30-2.0pt47%October 31+3.0pt28%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$17.3K
POLYMARKET
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
2.0 pt (24h)2mo
China+2.0pt80%No meeting by December 31-0.5pt18%
United States-1.4pt2%+12 more outcomes
Medium quality (63)Spread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$10.2K
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
2mo
December 3110%October 31-0.5pt2%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.2M
24h Vol$7.5K
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-1.0pt84%October 31-4.5pt56%October 15-2.5pt11%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$453.9K
24h Vol$9.7K
POLYMARKET
Russia military action against EU country by which date?
2.5 pt (24h)1y
2027-2.5pt22%2026+0.5pt9%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$246.1K
24h Vol$6.5K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia target Kyiv on?
23d
October 1396%October 1496%October 9+10.2pt96%+28 more outcomes
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$174.2K
24h Vol$5.6K
POLYMARKETWill Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
2mo
December 31,6%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$5.5M
24h Vol$1.8K
POLYMARKET
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
23d
31,14%15,-1.5pt8%Medium quality (64)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$66.5K
24h Vol$8.9K
POLYMARKETRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
2.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes6%-2.5pt
No94%+2.5pt
High quality (75)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$58.5K
24h Vol$9.6K
POLYMARKET
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
4.0 pt (24h)23d
1 or more-4.0pt26%2 or more-6.0pt13%5 or more-6.0pt10%Medium quality (68)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$37K
24h Vol$13.6K
KALSHI
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
2mo
Yes8.9%
No91.1%
High quality (77)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$2.2K
POLYMARKET
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
3.5 pt (24h)2mo
Druzkhivka-3.5pt36%Kramatorsk-0.5pt16%Sloviansk12%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$3.6K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by which date?
16.0 pt (24h)2mo
March 31, 2027+16.0pt68%December 31+10.5pt37%November 30+6.5pt18%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (66)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$66.1K
24h Vol$5.1K
POLYMARKET
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
0.2 pt (24h)23d
Yes2%+0.2pt
No98%-0.2pt
High quality (76)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$950.1K
24h Vol$3.2K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia invade another country by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)1y
2027+0.5pt17%2026-1.0pt6%Medium quality (72)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$602.8K
24h Vol$2.1K
POLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes83%+0.5pt
No17%-0.5pt
Medium quality (74)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$818K
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKET
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by which date?
1.5 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-1.5pt7%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$976.7K
24h Vol$1.1K
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
2mo
December6%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$863.8K
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
December 31+0.5pt12%October 31-0.1pt2%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$544.7K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKET
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
4.0 pt (24h)2mo
Ursula von der Leyen-4.0pt40%
Mark Rutte+10.5pt31%
Emmanuel Macron19%+12 more outcomes
Medium quality (63)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$562.4K
24h Vol$1.5K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
6.5 pt (24h)2mo
December 31+6.5pt80%October 3129%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$447.6K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
December 31+0.5pt22%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$389.1K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKET
Another NATO article 4 by which date?
4.5 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-4.5pt30%October 31-1.0pt8%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$179.3K
24h Vol$3.1K
POLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
1.1 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5%+1.1pt
No95%-1.1pt
Medium quality (72)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$166.1K
24h Vol$3.1K
POLYMARKET
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
2mo
Before Jan 20, 202942%Before 2027+1.7pt10%Medium quality (66)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$236.8K
24h Vol$1.8K
KALSHI
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date?
10.0 pt (24h)2mo
December 31+10.0pt68%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (68)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$107.5K
24h Vol$4K
POLYMARKET
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
1.0 pt (24h)1y
No meeting by December 31, 2027+1.0pt72.2%
Qatar3.5%
Turkey2.6%+26 more outcomes
High quality (75)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$152.6K
24h Vol$1.8K
POLYMARKET
Bank of Russia decision in October?
3.0 pt (24h)15d
No Change-3.0pt83.8%Decrease+1.0pt13.1%Increase3%High quality (75)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$69K
24h Vol$4K
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine target Moscow on?
23d
October 870%October 9+19.0pt64%October 19+1.5pt50%+26 more outcomes
Low quality (46)Wide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$180.4K
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKET
Ukraine election called by which date?
0.3 pt (24h)2mo
December-0.3pt5%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.9M
24h Vol$725
POLYMARKET
Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?
23h
80-9980%60-79-15.9pt7%100-1193%+8 more outcomes
Low quality (39)Spread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$16.6K
24h Vol$4K
POLYMARKETUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
0.3 pt (24h)23d
Yes2%-0.3pt
No98%+0.3pt
High quality (75)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$19.2K
24h Vol$2.1K
POLYMARKETPlague declared public health emergency by which date?
2.0 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-2.0pt8%November 30+0.9pt5%Medium quality (63)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$14.1K
24h Vol$2.6K
POLYMARKETWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
2mo
Yes5.9%
No94.1%
Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$33.6K
24h Vol$1K
POLYMARKETWho will Putin meet bilaterally in Turkmenistan?
2d
Masoud Pezeshkian99%
Serdar Berdimuhamedov98%
Alexander Lukashenko39%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$4.2K
24h Vol$4.2K
POLYMARKET
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by which date?
0.4 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-0.4pt4%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$462.5K
24h Vol$444.8
POLYMARKET
Ukraine coup attempt by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)1y
2027+1.0pt20%2026-2.0pt5%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (53)Wide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$170.9K
24h Vol$891.2
POLYMARKET
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by which date?
10.0 pt (24h)23d
October 31-10.0pt8%+4 more outcomes
Low quality (32)Wide spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$237.3K
24h Vol$557.6
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by which date?
2.0 pt (24h)2mo
December 31+2.0pt24%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (60)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$234.6K
24h Vol$511.6
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-0.1pt3%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (60)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$144.6K
24h Vol$806.1
POLYMARKET