Russia / Ukraine
1736 related markets tracked across sources for Russia / Ukraine.
Open Markets
703
Total Volume
$189,215,915
24h Volume
$723,676
Total Liquidity
$14,491,189
Related Crypto Assets
Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
11mo
+1.0%17%
9%
+0.8%4%
+2 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$18.7M
24h Vol$250.5K
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
0.2%1mo
56%
+3.5%37%
-0.2%4%
+31 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.1M
24h Vol$138.8K
POLYMARKET
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
2mo
11%
-1.9%7%
+0.1%7%
+68 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceYulia Navalnaya7%· ±4 pts
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$22.9M
24h Vol$15.5K
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
4.5%5mo
-1.0%36%
-4.5%19%
-1.5%8%
+2 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.7M
24h Vol$61.8K
POLYMARKET
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
5mo
+1.0%91%
-0.3%3%
+0.7%2%
+27 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$6.6K
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
5mo
10%
0%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.5M
24h Vol$5.7K
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
0.5%5mo
25%
+0.5%13%
0%
+1 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$907K
24h Vol$5.4K
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
0.5%5mo
+0.5%28%
-0.1%0%
-0.4%0%
+1 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.2M
24h Vol$59.2K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
1mo
+0.1%97%
-0.3%1%
0%
+31 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$3.3K
POLYMARKET
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
1.0%5mo
100%
99%
94%
+34 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$3.8M
24h Vol$1.4K
KALSHI
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
3.5%5mo
+3.5%47%
-0.5%11%
+0.1%1%
+1 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$977.9K
24h Vol$9.6K
POLYMARKET
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5mo
92%
9%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKET
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
3.0%5mo
65%
+3.0%32%
20%
+5 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$602.2K
24h Vol$5.3K
POLYMARKET
European military action against Iran by which date?
0.2%1mo
-4.0%8%
+0.2%4%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$155.4K
24h Vol$19K
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
2.5%1mo
-9.0%62%
-2.5%14%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$281.5K
24h Vol$8.2K
POLYMARKET
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
1.5%5mo
+0.5%70%
-1.5%16%
+0.1%4%
+12 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$189.4K
24h Vol$4.4K
POLYMARKET
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
2y
37%
-1.0%13%
1%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$381.7K
24h Vol$2.6K
KALSHI
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
0.5%1mo
+0.0%94%
6%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$183.1K
24h Vol$5.7K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
1.6%1mo
73%
+0.5%18%
+1.6%7%
+31 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$115.7K
24h Vol$1.9K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
3.5%5mo
-3.5%51%
+0.5%13%
-0.7%0%
+7 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$4.1K
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
0.5%5mo
+0.5%12%
-0.3%2%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$715.1K
24h Vol$4.6K
POLYMARKET
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by which date?
5mo
+2.5%20%
3%
-0.1%0%
+3 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$897.3K
24h Vol$1.7K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
5mo
92%
9%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$349K
24h Vol$3.8K
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
0.5%5mo
-0.5%61%
+1.0%41%
0%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$216.7K
24h Vol$2.6K
POLYMARKETUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
5mo
77%
24%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.5M
24h Vol$894.9
POLYMARKET
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by which date?
1.5%5mo
-0.5%76%
+1.5%48%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$21.9K
24h Vol$3.3K
POLYMARKET
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by which date?
0.3%5mo
+0.3%5%
-0.1%0%
0%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.6M
24h Vol$411.2
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
0.3%1mo
29%
+0.5%19%
-0.3%13%
+4 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$33.3K
24h Vol$966.2
POLYMARKET
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
5.0%5mo
+0.1%92%
-0.1%9%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$8K
24h Vol$4.4K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
1.0%1mo
-0.5%45%
+1.0%37%
-0.5%20%
+31 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$33.5K
24h Vol$621.5
POLYMARKET
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by which date?
2.0%5d
-2.0%13%
-1.2%3%
-0.6%0%
+1 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$223.3K
24h Vol$4K
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by which date?
6.5%2mo
-6.5%59%
-1.4%0%
-4.5%0%
+3 more outcomes
77 • High qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$936.7K
24h Vol$5.5K
POLYMARKET
Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner
1.4%1mo
-1.4%96%
50%
50%
+32 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$7K
24h Vol$1K
POLYMARKET
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
0.5%5mo
-0.5%10%
0%
0%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$417.4K
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKETHow many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
1mo
-1.0%26%
+3.5%23%
23%
+4 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$160.7K
24h Vol$565
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by which date?
1.5%5mo
+1.0%60%
-1.5%36%
-0.5%0%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$134K
24h Vol$1.1K
POLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
0.5%5mo
90%
+0.0%10%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$101.2K
24h Vol$1K
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by which date?
3.1%5mo
-22.5%33%
-3.1%6%
45 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$49.3K
24h Vol$45.7K
POLYMARKET
Bank of Russia decision in September?
7.5%1mo
-2.0%69%
+7.5%31%
-3.5%2%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$39.9K
24h Vol$2K
POLYMARKET
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
5.0%5mo
50%
47%
44%
+6 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$77.3K
24h Vol$262.9
KALSHI
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by which date?
5mo
-1.5%12%
2%
-0.5%0%
+4 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$2.2M
24h Vol$521
POLYMARKET
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
0.1%1mo
98%
2%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$39.3K
24h Vol$391.3
POLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
3.5%5mo
+0.0%73%
-0.0%27%
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$691.7K
24h Vol$889.9
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture Vodianske by which date?
7.0%5mo
+7.0%47%
+5.0%19%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16K
24h Vol$2.2K
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026?
5mo
96%
4%
Community forecast76 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Ukraine warcasting megamarket
1y
100%
100%
100%
+12 more outcomes
Community forecast356 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
3mo
85.2%
14.8%
Community forecast594 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
5mo
91%
9%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$135.4K
24h Vol$572
POLYMARKET