Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
0.3% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEntertainmentMusicGeopolitics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability2026 5%+0.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$411.2
Liquidity
$26.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.2% / 5.1%
Spread
21.4%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.3%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Feb 6, 25, 11:19 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
20265%
Volume trend
$411Jul 224d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
$60.5KDecember 31: 28%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will win the next Ukrainian presidential elections
$102.8Mychajlo Fedorov: 42.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US x Russia military clash by which date?
$10.3December 31,: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
$4.4KNo meeting by December 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
$29.6Trump bans abortion nationwide: 3.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the next President of Ukraine, after Zelenskyy?
$0Yuriy Boiko: 0.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto NewsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.
- An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.