Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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2027 · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 2027 8%Leader of 5 outcomes
June 30, 2027 8%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.6
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$57.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$29.8K
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2027Spread
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128
7d Change
+2.2 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 6, 25, 11:19 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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2025Lost
June 30, 2026Lost
Before close: 0% ·
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Market depth · 2027
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.
- An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
