U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
0.1 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsRussia / UkraineMiddle East2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$15.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$15.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 5:51 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Source: Polymarket
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by which date?
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PolymarketWill Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Ukraine recognizes Crimea as part of Russia?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
- Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
- The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
