US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
1.9 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineMiddle East2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$20.4K
Bid / Ask
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NoSpread
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7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Nov 13, 25, 11:10 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Ukraine recognizes Crimea as part of Russia?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
- Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
- Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
- The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
