PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 52%-0.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.6K
Liquidity
$89.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
26.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.7%
Moderate spread7d Change
-14.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 18, 26, 2:22 AMDec 31, 26, 8:59 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3152%
Large trades
$1.0k76.1%Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? — NoManzana69816h ago
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.