Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTrump launches new strikes on Iran before any deal is signed 75.1%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleAug 3, 26, 6:29 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
LimitlessWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
LimitlessRules
Just in case anyone asks, since I may add new prop bets since the market opened, the questions that are "within X days" are starting from the day the prop bet was added.
- I reserve the right to N/A the market to adjust liquidity in the first 10 minutes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for [PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks?
- Manifold Markets prices Trump launches new strikes on Iran before any deal is signed at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does [PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks resolve?
- [PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is [PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Just in case anyone asks, since I may add new prop bets since the market opened, the questions that are "within X days" are starting from the day the prop bet was added.