Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
2.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Steve Witkoff 33%+1.0ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9K
Liquidity
$290K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 11:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
- Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
- The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
- Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves.
