US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East2026 US MidtermsElectionPolitics25d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Yes 72.3%
Yes 72.3%Market quality
85 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$68.7K
Liquidity
$111.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 1:16 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
