FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 83%
No 83%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$937.3
Low liquidityTraders
14
Comments
1
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiUS-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin hit $95,000 before a formal US-Iran ceasefire is signed?
Manifold MarketsU.S. x Russia nuclear arms control deal confirmed by which date?
FutuurIran nuclear test before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether the United States and Iran will sign a nuclear control agreement at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a deal means a formally signed agreement by authorized representatives of both governments.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or texts released by the U.S. or Iranian governments confirming the signing.
- If a nuclear control agreement is formally signed by both the United States and Iran during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Frameworks, memoranda of understanding, or informal understandings without a signed agreement will not count.