FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
December 31 10%
December 31 10%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$849.7
Low liquidityTraders
2
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This set of markets tracks whether the United States and the Russian Federation reach an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation, across multiple deadlines.
- Each market resolves to "Yes" if a qualifying agreement is publicly announced as concluded and acknowledged by both governments on or before its deadline.
- The markets resolve independently: an agreement reached before an earlier deadline also resolves all later-deadline markets to "Yes".
- See individual market rules for full resolution criteria.