PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 6%-0.1ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13
Liquidity
$37.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
10
7d Change
+0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 6:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
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FutuurRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Russia nuclear test by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31, at 6% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Russia nuclear test by which date? resolve?
- Russia nuclear test by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Russia nuclear test by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).