U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by which date?
0.9 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitics3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 6%-0.1ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$17.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
37
7d Change
-2.6 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 14, 25, 11:27 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation is reached between the United States and the Russian Federation between August 14, 2025 and the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only agreements that are publicly announced and acknowledged by both the U.S. and Russia will qualify.
- The agreement must pertain to nuclear arms control or limitation—such as a treaty, framework, or memorandum—addressing matters including (but not limited to) nuclear warheads, delivery systems, verification mechanisms, or strategic stability.
- An extension, amendment, or replacement of the New START treaty will qualify, provided it is publicly announced as a concluded agreement by both parties within the time frame.
- Exploratory discussions or stated intent to extend without a finalized agreement will not qualify.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 6% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by which date? resolve?
- U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation is reached between the United States and the Russian Federation between August 14, 2025 and the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.