PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 89.1%-3.0pt
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$555.4
Liquidity
$11.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 12.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 23, 26, 12:08 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
LimitlessWill the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
KalshiWill Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act enters into force and becomes legally operative between the two governments between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.