PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 28%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 31 28%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.5K
Liquidity
$24.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$43.6K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
2
7d Change
+3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 8:53 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
July 31Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by which date?
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PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
- The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”.
- The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
- Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time.