PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
June 30, 2027 · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 2027 26%Leader of 14 outcomes
June 30, 2027 26%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$71.3K
Liquidity
$351.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.3M
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
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Comments
1,093
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Mar 9, 26, 2:58 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
April 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
August 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
August 22Lost
Before close: 0% ·
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
March 13Lost
March 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
May 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · June 30, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iran leadership change by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Iran leadership change by...? · December 31 20%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Iran leadership change by...? · Dec 31 13%
