Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East23d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No Hormuz Agreement · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
No Hormuz Agreement 82.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
No Hormuz Agreement 82.2%Market quality
92 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$75.5K
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
No Hormuz AgreementSpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 6:01 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · No Hormuz Agreement
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
PolymarketRepublicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
PolymarketRepublicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
PolymarketUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; R Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; D Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "the named outcome" immediately if a Hormuz Agreement is not announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Hormuz Agreement: A "Hormuz Agreement" will be considered to have occurred if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is announced by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.