KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 92%
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$551.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.8% / 7.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes8%
Large trades
$4.1k93.4%KALSHINo22d ago
KALSHINo22d agoVolume trend
$1.2kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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If Reza Pahlavi has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.