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Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 31 5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$128.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
423
Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingJan 3, 26, 8:07 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and the named outcome, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran.
- Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $64M
- 24h Vol
- $618.1K
KALSHIAl Hilal vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Hilal+35.0pt93%
- Tie5%
- Al Ahli Saudi-19.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $749.4K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.2pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt39%
- September 3020%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $7.4M
- 24h Vol
- $218.6K
KALSHIAl Hilal vs Al Ahli Saudi: Total Goals
- Over 1.5 goals scored+16.0pt99%
- Over 0.5 goals scored+7.0pt99%
- Over 2.5 goals scored+30.0pt93%
+5 more outcomes
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Al Hilal vs Al Ahli Saudi: BTTS
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 5% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date? resolve?
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and the named outcome, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".