PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 4%Leader of 7 outcomes
December 31 4%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$143.4
Liquidity
$97.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$605.7K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
432
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 8:07 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
April 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
February 28Lost
January 31Lost
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
March 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
May 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
PolymarketUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and the named outcome, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran.
- Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.