Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.9%
Forecasters
55
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 28, 26, 8:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
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KalshiWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? resolve?
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.