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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

PolymarketPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 28%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 71 days ago

Stale
Mar 31, 26, 8:06 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
28%
No
No
73%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.