Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
No 72.3%
Market quality
14 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 161 days ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 8:06 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
72.3%
27.7%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 72% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? resolve?
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.