PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Mojtaba Khamenei · —
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Stored reference
Mojtaba Khamenei 88.7%Leader of 32 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Mojtaba Khamenei 88.7%Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$34.8K
Liquidity
$1.9M
High liquidityOpen interest
$787.4K
Bid / Ask
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Mojtaba KhameneiSpread
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Comments
156
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Mar 1, 26, 12:15 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Mojtaba Khamenei
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
- Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
- If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
- Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
- Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Leader of Iran at end of 2026? · Mojtaba Khamenei 85%