KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
None · —
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Stored price
None 78%Leader of 3 outcomes
None 78%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$259.2
Open interest
$1.1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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NoneSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 11:30 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · None
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?
KalshiWhich lists will win a Knesset seat?
KalshiIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PolymarketWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsRules
If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Elections Committee
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. The None market resolves Yes if each bloc's seat total is 60 or fewer and No if either bloc's total is 61 or more; it does not measure the seats won by lists outside both blocs. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel.
Rules for each outcome
- None
- If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Netanyahu bloc
- If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Opposition bloc
- If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.