KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Opposition bloc · —
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Stored price
Opposition bloc 53.5%
Opposition bloc 53.5%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$89.2
Open interest
$357.8
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Opposition blocSpread
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Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 11:30 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Opposition bloc
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?
KalshiIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PolymarketWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRules
If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Elections Committee
- Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. The two blocs are ranked against each other. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel. If both blocs win the same number of seats, both markets resolve to Yes at $0.50.
Rules for each outcome
- Opposition bloc
- If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Netanyahu bloc
- If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.