Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffMiddle EastUS PoliticsGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 6%Leader of 7 outcomes
December 31 6%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.6K
Liquidity
$175.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$235.4K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
218
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Mar 27, 26, 12:15 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
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April 30Lost
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August 31Lost
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July 31Lost
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June 30Lost
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May 31Lost
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Venue terms
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
- To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
- Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
