KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $4.40 97%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$603.6
Liquidity
$7.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 7:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Diesel price on Election Day
KalshiHow low will US diesel prices get in 2026?
KalshiUS Average DIESEL Price Is $8 or more on any day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average DIESEL Price Is $6.000 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsDiesel prices this week
KalshiRules
If the AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+31 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.2M
- 24h Vol
- $542.9K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.200099%
- Above 4.240099%
- Above 4.360099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $635.6K
- 24h Vol
- $354K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Above $93.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $93.49+6.0pt99%
- Above $95.49+22.0pt98%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,392.22 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Total Vol
- $169.2K
- 24h Vol
- $133K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- $95.00 to $95.99+63.0pt75%
- $96.00 to $96.99+10.0pt27%
- $97.00 to $97.99-13.0pt4%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+8.0pt24.6%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt20.9%
- Before Oct 1, 202720%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8M
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- California gas prices tomorrow
- US gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Brent crude oil price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Natural gas price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Georgia gas prices tomorrow
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Copper price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Diesel price at year-end 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above $4.40 at 97% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Diesel price at year-end 2026 resolve?
- Diesel price at year-end 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Diesel price at year-end 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.