Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
0.8 pts (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffMiddle EastUS PoliticsGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 90%
No 90%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$649
Liquidity
$75.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$235.1K
Bid / Ask
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NoSpread
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7d Change
+1.8 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Mar 31, 26, 8:12 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
- An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
