KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 3:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Below $5.70 0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
64.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 7:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is the named outcome, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- This is a touch market.
- If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $88.49+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.4999%
- Above $87.99+4.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $302.5K
- 24h Vol
- $166.3K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85099%
- Above $2.85598%
- Above $2.92596%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $95.2K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $121K
- 24h Vol
- $87.8K
KALSHIDiesel prices this week
- Above $5.7099%
- Above $5.7299%
- Above $5.7499%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.5K
- 24h Vol
- $56.5K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+6.0pt34.3%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt25.3%
- Before Mar 1, 202711.1%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9M
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- US gas prices this week
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How low will US diesel prices get in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Below $5.70 at 0% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How low will US diesel prices get in 2026? resolve?
- How low will US diesel prices get in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How low will US diesel prices get in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is the named outcome, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.