PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability↑ $6,000 10%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$247.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.8% / 2.9%
Spread
3.6%
Moderate spread7d Change
-0.2%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 8:49 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
↑ $6,00010%
Large trades
$3.4k96.1%POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? — NoJfownsk2d ago
POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? — NoJfownsk2d ago$5.0k89.8%POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — Noronm2384d ago
POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — Noronm2384d ago$2.1k10.0%POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — Yesjaybd5d ago
POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — Yesjaybd5d ago$4.6k92.0%POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — NoQMG-VOL10d ago
POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — NoQMG-VOL10d ago$3.0k91.0%POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — Noronm23812d ago
POLYMARKETWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? — Noronm23812d agoVolume trend
$1.1kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month.
- The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
- Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered.
- Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.