SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
0.3% (24h)RegulationOne-OffCommoditiesUS Politics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 70%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.1
Liquidity
$10.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.1%
Spread
110.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.3%
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 16, 25, 7:37 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3170%
Volume trend
$42Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
- The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website.
- The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.