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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

0.5% (24h)RegulationOne-OffCommoditiesUS Politics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
December 31
December 31 25%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$42.5

Liquidity

$12.7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

-2.0%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jul 16, 25, 7:44 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

December 3125%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
  • The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website.
  • The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
  • The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website.
  • The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.