Will marijuana be rescheduled?

RegulationOne-OffPolitics US Politics19d

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Before July 2026 1%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$17.4

Liquidity

$7K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

0.6% / 1.2%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Dec 17, 25, 6:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before July 20261%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

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Will marijuana be rescheduled?

RegulationOne-OffPolitics US Politics19d

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Before July 2026 1%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$17.4

Liquidity

$7K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

0.6% / 1.2%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Dec 17, 25, 6:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before July 20261%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

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