KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jan 20, 2029 88%Leader of 6 outcomes
Before Jan 20, 2029 88%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Open interest
$309.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
—
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jun 11, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 20, 2029
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketWill a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
Manifold MarketsTestosterone unscheduled/rescheduled more permissively in US by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:SemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCthe United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticothe Federal Registerthe Department of JusticeBloomberg NewsNBCthe Drug Enforcement Administration
- If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract. Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes. Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I. The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect. The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.