If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsElectionRegulation5d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.6%
Forecasters
227
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Mar 10, 24, 5:12 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
KalshiWill marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 4/20 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028, will marijuana be federally descheduled before Jan 20, 2033?
Manifold MarketsIf a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will marijuana be federally descheduled before Jan 20, 2033?
Manifold MarketsWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketWill a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections.
- Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
- Update 15 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if marijuana is removed from Schedule 1 in Biden’s current term.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-marijuana-be-fe)