If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsElectionRegulation1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.6%
Forecasters
212
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 10, 24, 5:12 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections.
- Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
- Update 15 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if marijuana is removed from Schedule 1 in Biden’s current term.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-marijuana-be-fe)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms? resolve?
- If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections.