What’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
RegulationUS PoliticsSociety & Culture2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Pennsylvania 75.7%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
80
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-8.7 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 8, 23, 10:48 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Today, weed is recreationally legal in 24 states (Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Washington).
- What’s the next one to legalize it?
- Only US states count here, not territories.
- Also multiple states can be resolve YES, if and only if, ballots / laws legalizing weed are passed on the same date in multiple states.
- If marijuana becomes federally recreationally legal before any new state makes it legal, every state will resolve to YES.