What’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
RegulationUS PoliticsSociety & Culture4mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 23, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastNew Hampshire 10.1%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
79
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleDec 8, 23, 10:48 PMDec 1, 26, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New Hampshire10%
Volume trend
$49Jul 222d of dataJul 23
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Today, weed is recreationally legal in 24 states (Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Washington).
- What’s the next one to legalize it?
- Only US states count here, not territories.
- Also multiple states can be resolve YES, if and only if, ballots / laws legalizing weed are passed on the same date in multiple states.
- If marijuana becomes federally recreationally legal before any new state makes it legal, every state will resolve to YES.