Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No No observed price
No No observed priceMarket quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$783.9
Low liquidityOpen interest
$10
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 26, 8:58 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any state ban the flying Tesla Roadster from public roads by December 31, 2028?
PolymarketWhen will the first deliveries of the 2nd gen Tesla Roadster occur?
Manifold MarketsElon (parody) asked: in 2050 are you flying on Tesla Airlines?
Manifold MarketsWill 10+ flying Tesla roadsters be shipped before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the Tesla Roadster cost?
KalshiTesla Roadster delivery
KalshiRules
On October 15, 2026, Tesla demonstrated a version of its new Roadster briefly becoming airborne using cold-gas thrusters.
- (see: https://fortune.com/2026/10/17/tesla-flying-roadster-spacex-thrusters-2028-production-price/)
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. state takes a qualifying action authorizing the Tesla Roadster to fly on or over public roads within that state, as described below, between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, the “Tesla Roadster” refers to any model or trim of Tesla’s Roadster, including the Rocket trim.
- A qualifying action may be specific to the Tesla Roadster or may apply to flying cars or roadable aircraft generally, so long as the Tesla Roadster falls within its scope.