Society & Culture

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

3mo

Yes

60%

40%

Medium quality (70)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$12.2K

24h Vol$1.8K

KALSHI

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

4.0 pt (24h)1y

Vanderbilt

87%

Rice

84%

UCLA

79%

+5 more outcomes

Medium quality (54)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$17.3K

24h Vol$298

KALSHI

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

2.0 pt (24h)1y

Significant decrease

+2.0pt60.4%

No significant difference

-11.0pt28.7%

Significant increase

+6.2pt10.9%

Medium quality (58)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$58.8K

24h Vol$228

KALSHI

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

0.5 pt (24h)3mo

+0.5pt84%

Yes

-0.5pt16%

Low quality (38)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$20.2K

24h Vol$166

POLYMARKET

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

3mo

84%

Yes

16%

Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$19.1K

24h Vol$146.8

KALSHI

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

3.0 pt (24h)6mo

Above 1.7 million

96%

Above 1.9 million

89%

Above 2.0 million

77%

+5 more outcomes

Medium quality (58)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$13.8K

24h Vol$140

KALSHI

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

7.0 pt (24h)3mo

Yale

+7.0pt59%

Columbia

-5.0pt45%

Notre Dame

40%

+8 more outcomes

Low quality (46)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$5.4K

24h Vol$104.2

KALSHI

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)5mo

Yes

-1.0pt67%

33%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.2K

24h Vol$127

KALSHI

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

3mo

77%

Yes

23%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$1.8K

24h Vol$200

KALSHI

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

8.0 pt (24h)1y

Yes

-8.0pt69%

31%

Low quality (41)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2K

24h Vol$100

KALSHI

Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?

2.0 pt (24h)2mo

77%

Yes

23%

Low quality (42)Spread unknownMedium liquidity

24h Vol$219

FORECASTEX

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

3mo

Peru

94%

Argentina

93%

Uruguay

88%

+9 more outcomes

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$192.4K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

0.5 pt (24h)3mo

+0.5pt82.2%

Yes

-0.5pt17.8%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$158.7K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

US test scores in Math in 2026?

Significant decrease

+8.0pt43.4%

No significant difference

+1.0pt37.4%

Significant increase

19.2%

Medium quality (51)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$58.3K

24h Vol$39.2

KALSHI

Is Earth flat?

3mo

99%

Yes

Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$56.4K

24h Vol$20.1

POLYMARKET

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

6.0 pt (24h)8mo

Above 950 units

96%

Above 1,100 units

93%

Above 1,250 units

79%

+3 more outcomes

Low quality (49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$20.8K

24h Vol$51

KALSHI

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

3mo

99%

Yes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$26.5K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

5mo

78%

Yes

22%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$26.4K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

1mo

Above 4.1 million

94%

Above 4.2 million

89%

Above 4.3 million

61%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$19.8K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

6mo

92%

Yes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$18.3K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

15d

98%

Yes

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$16.8K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

1.0 pt (24h)2mo

Kira Freije

30.7%

Tanoa Sasraku

30.7%

Marguerite Humeau

27.7%

+1 more outcomes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$14.2K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

2mo

Before Jul 1, 2027

25%

Before Jan 1, 2027

16%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Low quality (45)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$13.2K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

3mo

84%

Yes

16%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$12.3K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

3mo

93%

Yes

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$10.1K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

4mo

Above 9.6 million

91%

Above 9.8 million

52%

Above 10.0 million

13%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2.5K

24h Vol$74.5

KALSHI

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)

41%

1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)

15%

Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)

13%

+3 more outcomes

Low quality (47)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$8.6K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

0.4 pt (24h)1mo

+0.4pt96%

Yes

-0.4pt4%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$7.6K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

1.0 pt (24h)1mo

Yes

+1.0pt51%

-1.0pt49%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$7.5K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

5.8 pt (24h)3mo

-5.8pt71%

Yes

+5.8pt29%

Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$7.5K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

2027

-0.5pt68.6%

July 31, 2027

29.8%

2026

1.6%

Low quality (43)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$7.1K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Yes

91%

Low quality (40)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$5.7K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

0.3 pt (24h)3mo

-0.3pt98%

Yes

+0.3pt2%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$5.3K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

3mo

Yes

98%

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.6K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

1.5 pt (24h)15d

September 30

+0.5pt9%

June 30

-1.5pt0%

July 31

-10.6pt0%

+1 more outcomes

Low quality (23)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.6K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

3mo

Shaquille O'Neal

32%

Scarlett Johansson

26%

The Rock

25%

+7 more outcomes

Low quality (40)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2.3K

24h Vol$14.9

KALSHI

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

0.3 pt (24h)15d

+0.3pt98%

Yes

-0.3pt2%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$3.3K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Major news story in Sep 2026?

11.0 pt (24h)16d

At least 1

-11.0pt30.8%

At least 2

27.4%

At least 3

17.9%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (38)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2K

24h Vol$17.6

KALSHI

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

8.0 pt (24h)3mo

Before Jan 1, 2028

41.5%

Before Jul 1, 2027

39.8%

Before Jan 1, 2027

-8.0pt18.6%

Low quality (31)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2.1K

24h Vol$6.4

KALSHI

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

7mo

Down

87.1%

12.9%

Low quality (32)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2.2K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

3mo

64%

Yes

36%

Low quality (43)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$1.6K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

1.5 pt (24h)1mo

Yes

+1.5pt61%

-1.5pt39%

Low quality (32)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$1.6K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Another Elon baby by December 31?

3mo

86%

Yes

14%

Low quality (35)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$933.5

24h Vol$14.3

POLYMARKET

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

5.0 pt (24h)3mo

-5.0pt81%

Yes

+5.0pt19%

Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$927.7

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?

0.6 pt (24h)3mo

-0.6pt94%

Yes

+0.6pt6%

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$800.2

24h Vol$0.3

POLYMARKET

Maine lobster landings in 2026

6mo

Above 55 million pounds

94%

Above 70 million pounds

65%

Above 75 million pounds

44%

+5 more outcomes

Low quality (46)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$728.5

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

23.0 pt (24h)6mo

Yes

+23.0pt53.5%

-23.0pt46.5%

Low quality (32)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$364.4

24h Vol$10.8

POLYMARKET

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

5mo

Above 86,000

95%

Above 88,000

94%

Above 90,000

93%

+5 more outcomes

Low quality (31)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$450

24h Vol—

KALSHI

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Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

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Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

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Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

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