Society & Culture
42 related markets tracked across sources for Society & Culture.
Open Markets
33
Total Volume
$154,697
24h Volume
$3,995
Total Liquidity
$22,646
Which users will attend Manifest 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
2mo
56.3%
41%
88.9%
+99 more outcomes
Community forecast68 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$16.3K
24h Vol$352.2
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?
10y
55.4%
44.6%
Community forecast96 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$20.3K
24h Vol$266
MANIFOLD MARKETSAPUSH cheater prop bets
6mo
53.6%
36.6%
40%
+12 more outcomes
Community forecast39 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$10.7K
24h Vol$444.8
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Manifest 2026 have 10+ session videos available online?
1mo
8%
21.2%
37.2%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast2 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$815
24h Vol$815
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Another Elon baby by June 30?
0.5%18d
7%
93%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$56.5K
24h Vol$137.2
POLYMARKETWill the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?
3y
8.5%
91.5%
Community forecast13 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$688.1
24h Vol$300
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
3y
20%
80%
Community forecast77 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$9.3K
24h Vol$101
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?
11mo
25%
75%
Community forecast15 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$122.2
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I earn at least $25 per hour grading USA(J)MO?
6mo
98.4%
1.6%
Community forecast29 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$18.4K
24h Vol$201.9
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill @jim attend Manifest this year?
6mo
94.3%
5.7%
Community forecast24 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$125.6
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I make TST?
16d
33%
67%
Community forecast19 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.4K
24h Vol$148
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Aella die of natural causes?
195y
79.6%
20.4%
Community forecast12 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$670.5
24h Vol$116
MANIFOLD MARKETS[snigus] Will I convince Destiny that managing AI-risk should be in top 2 policy priority of his?
19d
28%
72%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$737.6
24h Vol$105.8
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Little Joe escape again?
0.9%1mo
-0.0%5%
+0.0%95%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETWill the Montgomery Blair Science Bowl team get hoodies for the 2025-26 year?
19d
48.2%
51.8%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.7K
24h Vol$77.1
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
17.0%6mo
-17.0%63%
74%
20%
+9 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.7K
24h Vol$0
KALSHI
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
1.0%10mo
-0.0%44%
+0.0%56%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETwill mr beast will achive 500 million subscribers before 9/11
3mo
98.7%
1.3%
Community forecast9 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$990.3
24h Vol$60
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill my YouTube Channel have more than 15 subscribers at the end of June 2026?
19d
98.9%
1.1%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$964.5
24h Vol$53.5
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
8.0%1y
+8.0%40%
-9.0%45%
-1.0%15%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$448.5
24h Vol$18.3
KALSHI@MarySmith attends Manifest '26?
4d
95.5%
4.5%
Community forecast12 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$621.3
24h Vol$20
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US test scores in Math in 2026?
21.0%1y
+21.0%43%
-37.0%7%
-2.0%45%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$415.4
24h Vol$21.4
KALSHIWill I attend Manifest?
3d
93.6%
6.4%
Community forecast8 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$359.9
24h Vol$32.1
MANIFOLD MARKETSNothing Ever Happens 2026
6mo
70%
30%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$598.1
24h Vol$3.1
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I get into any MATS tracks in the Autumn 2026 cohort?
19d
20.8%
79.2%
Community forecast4 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$117.7
24h Vol$92.7
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I be below 265 pounds by January 11, 2027? (Today: 318.8 pounds)
7mo
41.3%
58.7%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$156.3
24h Vol$50
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?
2.0%1mo
-0.0%21%
+0.0%79%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$106
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETwill we (husband + me) move back to our hometown within 3 years?
2y
57%
43%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$53.3
24h Vol$53.3
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
5.0%1y
-5.0%59%
44%
63%
+5 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$119.1
24h Vol$0.2
KALSHIWill my Manifest session with Robin Hanson be a success, in my opinion?
1d
61%
39%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$55
24h Vol$14.1
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?
3y
91%
9%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$49.6
24h Vol$0
KALSHI
Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
6mo
32%
43%
0%
+8 more outcomes
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$17.2
24h Vol$0
KALSHI
Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
6mo
38%
62%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$13.4
24h Vol$0
KALSHI