KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 55%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$196.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
54.0% / 57.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 10:00 PM UTCMar 12, 27, 12:54 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Glacier National Park reports that total Glacier National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 3,305,512, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Park Service
- The Underlying is the National Park Service's “Recreation Visits” measure for Glacier National Park.
- Non-recreation visits, visitor hours, overnight stays, and other visitor-use measures will not be included.
- Current-year NPS visitation data are preliminary and subject to revision.
- NPS states that the data are finalized by the end of the first quarter of the following calendar year, so resolution will use the first finalized 2026 recreation-visits total rather than a preliminary monthly or YTD figure.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 55% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026? resolve?
- Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 12, 2027.
- How is Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Glacier National Park reports that total Glacier National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 3,305,512, then the market resolves to Yes.