Will any current National Park lose land area during this presidential term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsRegulationElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 64.8%
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Updated 29 minutes ago
Mar 5, 25, 12:15 AM UTCFeb 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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There are currently 63 National Parks in the United States: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_national_parks_of_the_United_States
- Will any of these Parks have land area sold, redesignated as National Forest, National Monument, etc., or otherwise cease to be a part of the National Park they are currently a part of as of March 4 2025?
- This would count if an entire Park is removed as well.
- Any such action will count until the term is over, i.e. until inauguration in January 2029.
- This action must hold until that date.
- If such an action has been taken but is held up in courts and may be reversed, I will poll Manifold on how likely the action is to be upheld and resolve to that percentage.
