KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 950 units · —
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Stored price
Above 1,400 units 57.5%Market line of 6 lines
Above 1,400 units 57.5%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.6K
Open interest
$8.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 950 unitsSpread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 7:00 PM UTCMay 31, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 950 units
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 1,400 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the Total housing-units-authorized figure for the Bozeman, MT CBSA in the Census Building Permits Survey’s final annual 2026 data. All residential structure types are included: one-unit, two-unit, three- and four-unit, and structures with five or more units. Use the Census Building Permits Survey → Permits by CBSA page: Then Annual 2026 → Bozeman, MT → Total.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 950 units
- If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 950 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,100 units
- If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 1,100 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,250 units
- If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 1,250 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,400 units
- If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 1,400 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,550 units
- If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 1,550 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,700 units
- If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 1,700 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
