PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Elon Musk 98%-0.4ptLeader of 37 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$671.7
Liquidity
$248.8K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 10:36 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/).
- If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78).
- If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.8pt97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $119.1K
POLYMARKETVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $100M+0.1pt97%
- $200M+0.3pt94%
- $300M87%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $20M+1.1pt100%
- $50M+3.2pt100%
- $100M+10.1pt100%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of August?
- NVIDIA+0.1pt97%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt92%
- Company F50%
- Company G50%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETExtended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $150M+5.0pt78%
- $300M+6.0pt41%
- $500M+2.5pt18%
+4 more outcomes
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- 2nd Largest Company end of August?
- 3rd Largest Company end of August?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- 2nd Largest Company end of September?
- Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Richest person on December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket prices Elon Musk at 98% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Richest person on December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Richest person on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Richest person on December 31, 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.