PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
$100M · —
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Stored reference
$100M 98%Leader of 10 outcomes
$100M 98%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8K
Liquidity
$419K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.2M
Bid / Ask
— / —
$100MSpread
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Comments
67
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 4:46 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · $100M
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
- "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for $100M is 98%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference $100M 98% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread