PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
NVIDIA 56.7%-3.0ptLeader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$30.2K
Liquidity
$875.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.9% / 1.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 9:16 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
NVIDIA55%
Compare venues· NVIDIA
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Futuur
World’s largest company at the end of 2026
5mo
58%
30%
8%
+4 more outcomes
41 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.9K
24h Vol$1.7
FUTUUR
Also available on Manifold Markets
Largest company end of 2026?
5mo
+3.7pt65.2%
-2.3pt22.8%
-1.3pt8.2%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast78 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.8k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — NoSikspat9d ago
POLYMARKETWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — NoSikspat9d ago$1.4k99.5%POLYMARKETWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — Nohklcrypt13d ago
POLYMARKETWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — Nohklcrypt13d agoVolume trend
$30.2kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.