KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
7,800 or above 99%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$545.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 5:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $105.9K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.4K
- 24h Vol
- $36.4K
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down79%
- Up21%
- Total Vol
- $32.1K
- 24h Vol
- $31.9K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.0pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How high will the S&P get this year??
- Kalshi prices 7,800 or above at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How high will the S&P get this year? resolve?
- How high will the S&P get this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How high will the S&P get this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.