KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability7,800 or above 57%+4.6%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.4K
Liquidity
$403.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
55.8% / 55.9%
Spread
0.2%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 5:00 AMJan 1, 27, 11:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
7,800 or above57%
Large trades
$1.1k75.0%KALSHI7,800 or above — No7d ago
KALSHI7,800 or above — No7d agoVolume trend
$7.4kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.