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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Equities
  3. Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

3.0% (24h)YearlyEquitiesMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 70%-3.0%
Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$24.4

Liquidity

$4.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

70.0% / 73.0%

Spread

4.3%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jan 6, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes70%

Rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
  • Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
  • See the rules for more information.

Related Markets

Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

$462.8
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will OKLO reach $200 by the end of 2026?

$421
Yes: 29%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will the S&P get this year?

How high will the S&P get this year?

$35.5
8,000 or above: 41%KalshiKALSHI
How low will the S&P get this year?

How low will the S&P get this year?

$13.6
6,300 or below: 37%KalshiKALSHI
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

$6.7
Yes: 59%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?

Will Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?

$0
Yes: 13%LimitlessLIMITLESS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,922.14+2.78%EthereumETH$1,659.27+2.44%SolanaSOL$65.27+2.73%HyperliquidHYPE$56.02+0.46%XRPXRP$1.12+1.31%DogecoinDOGE$0.0852+2.31%

Related News

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Rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
  • Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
  • See the rules for more information.