KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 84%+0.1pt
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$836.8
Liquidity
$67K
High liquidityBid / Ask
80.7% / 83.7%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 22, 26, 8:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
KalshiNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiNASDAQ-100 price at year-end?
KalshiWill Anthropic be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 25249.85, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $636.3K
- 24h Vol
- $630.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.2%
- Before March 202717.1%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.3%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 84% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026? resolve?
- Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 25249.85, then the market resolves to Yes.