Will OpenAI be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026?
ExchangeAIOne-OffEquitiesCorporate ActionsTech3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.7%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 12:06 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- OpenAI has not officially announced an IPO, but the market resolves YES if OpenAI lists on Nasdaq on or before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be confirmed via Nasdaq's official listing announcements at https://www.nasdaq.com/.
- If OpenAI lists on a different exchange (NYSE, etc.) or after December 31, 2026, the market resolves NO.
- Every signal from the company and its investors points to a filing in the second half of 2026, with a potential listing in Q4 2026 or Q1 2027.
- OpenAI has surpassed $25 billion in annualized revenue, closed the largest private funding round in history at $110 billion, and is now in active discussions with Wall Street banks about a public listing that could value it near $1 trillion.
Open markets
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Fcerablo
- ABLO+10.0pt72.5%
- FCER-14.0pt27.6%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Wtamatch WUSO 26 Nosaeryb
- ERYB+27.0pt81.2%
- NOSA-26.0pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $851.5K
- 24h Vol
- $849.6K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ageabvan
- BVAN-2.0pt57.8%
- AGEA+3.0pt42.2%
- Total Vol
- $197.7K
- 24h Vol
- $197.7K
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaltie
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Ijovcgau
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Azveldar
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- BTC 15 min · $78,417.47 target
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will OpenAI be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will OpenAI be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will OpenAI be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will OpenAI be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria